Late goals means a draw in Mar

 src=
Several commentators have again mentioned the idea that Liverpool cannot qualify without winning in Marseille; this is odd as it is and was plainly incorrect. If Liverpool had won 2-1 tonight then they would have had to win the final match, but the three goal margin allows for another scenario.

If Liverpool draw the final match in Marseille then they will still qualify as long as Besiktas beat Porto to move onto 9 points. This would leave Liverpool in a three-way points tie for second with Porto and Marseille. At this stage the results between the three teams that are level on points are tallied up to produce a winner, effectively the Besiktas results would be ignored.

Final table if Besiktas win 1-0 and Liverpool draw
Besiktas pl:6 pts:9 gd:-8
Liverpool pl:6 pts:8 gd:+9
Marseille pl:6 pts:8 gd:+1
Porto pl:6 pts:8 gd:-2

The reason why Liverpool would be second is simple. These results would result in a mini-table where all three have 5 points, and while Marseille have a better head-to-head than Liverpool, Porto have a better head-to-head than Marseille and Liverpool are better off than Porto. At this stage it goes down to goal difference between the three and the late goals scored at Anfield mean that Liverpool would top this mini-league and qualify in second place if they draw and Benfica win on the final day.

Mini-table
Liverpool pl:4 pts:5 gd:+2
Marseille pl:4 pts:5 gd:level
Porto pl:4 pts:5 gd:-2

This is confirmed in in the UEFA competition regulations section IV, subsection 6.05 (http://www.uefa.com/newsfiles/19071.pdf):

6.05 If two or more teams are equal on points on completion of the group matches, the following criteria are applied to determine the rankings:

a) higher number of points obtained in the group matches played among the teams in question;
b) superior goal difference from the group matches played among the teams in question;
c) higher number of goals scored away from home in the group matches played among the teams in question;
d) superior goal difference from all group matches played;
e) higher number of goals scored;
f) higher number of coefficient points accumulated by the club in question, as well as its association, over the previous five seasons (see paragraph 8.02).

Group results to date:
Besiktas 2 - 1 Marseille
Liverpool 4 - 1 Porto
Porto 2 - 1 Marseille
Liverpool 8 - 0 Besiktas
Besiktas 2 - 1 Liverpool
Marseille 1 - 1 Porto
Besiktas 0 - 1 Porto
Liverpool 0 - 1 Marseille
Porto 1 - 1 Liverpool
Marseille 2 - 0 Besiktas

Group results without Besiktas:
Liverpool 4 - 1 Porto
Porto 2 - 1 Marseille
Marseille 1 - 1 Porto
Liverpool 0 - 1 Marseille
Porto 1 - 1 Liverpool


Latest article feedback

bob:

Very clever but all worthless

1/10


...all feedback for this article

Adverts