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Wednesday, 13 August 2008

Aston Villa: Premier League preview and prediction 2008/9

Villa now seem likely to keep Gareth Barry, which will probably be confirmed on Thursday when the UEFA Cup resumes; and as Liverpool have now cup-tied Xabi Alonso a deal seems all but dead. Barry stays and suddenly the transfer flood gates have opened with late deals for Luke Young, Nickey Shorey - both fringe England players to go with Friedel, Sidwell and now Cuellar. All told Villa's net transfer budget is currently over £20m for the summer; and that is an ambitious statement.

Martin O'Neill may have some difficulty with the new signings considering the lateness of the signings; but he should still get around 60 points from the season leaving Villa in fifth or sixth place.

TRANSFERS TO DATE Ins: Curtis Davies (West Brom), Steve Sidwell (Chelsea), Brad Friedel (Blackburn), Brad Guzan (Chivas USA) Nicky Shorey (Reading), Luke Young (Middlesbrough), Carlos Cuellar (Rangers).

Outs: Olof Mellberg (Juventus), Thomas Sorensen (released), Patrik Berger (Sparta Prague), Luke Moore (West Brom).

RECENT LEAGUE FINISHES Recent league position: 6-11-16-10-6 Recent league points: 60-50-42-47-56

SPREAD BETTING Sporting Index final position prediction: 6th Sporting Index points prediction: 55 - 56.50 points

Sporting Index predict that Villa will slip four or five points from last season, but the late flurry of transfer activity may have caught them on the hop as they will surely match last season as a minimum. A buy will be profitable if Villa get 57 points or more; last season they got 60.

Example: £10 buy Aston Villa season points at 56.5 Aston Villa get 67 points: You win win £105 Aston Villa get 62 points: You win win £55 Aston Villa get 57 points: You win win £5 Aston Villa get 52 points: You lose lose £45 Aston Villa get 47 points: You lose lose £95 and so on

PREDICTION Finish 6th, 57-62 points

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