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Friday, 12 September 2008

Liverpool vs Manchester United: Premier League Prediction Panel 2008/9 - previews and predictions

The first big grudge match of the season and it comes at a tricky time for both teams. Liverpool are sweating on the availability and fitness of Fernando Torres and Steven Gerrard and with the Champions' League proper starting next week rushing either back too soon could be a catastrophe. Liverpool have eked out good results whilst playing poorly - but are unlikely to get much from this fixture if their play isn't better. Benitez may rest one of his big two if the Champions' League is the priority - so the very selection process could be a pointer to what Liverpool want to achieve this season.

United could be missing Dimitar Berbatov as well as Cristiano Ronaldo if the reports on the Bulgarian's hamstring are true; but with Wayne Rooney and Rio Ferdinand in such good form in the week will expect to do well at both ends of the pitch.

Not so much a title indicator for United, but Liverpool will be desperate for a win (they have won their last nine home games) to give them belief for the months ahead.

Liverpool (2) vs Manchester United (9); Kick Off 12:45pm, 13 September 2009

Prediction Panel

Our panel contains both Squarefootball writers and readers, the writers are marked: (sqf).

Tony Bellew: 1-3
Dave Blackburn: 0-1
Sue Gardener: 2-3
Chris Goodwin: 1-1
Paul Grech (sqf): 0-3
Hugh Larkin (sqf): TBC
Colin Illingworth (sqf): 1-2
Peter Lee: 1-1
Don McMahon: 1-0
Antony Melvin (sqf): 1-1
Stephen Orford (sqf): 0-1
Tony Ratton: 1-2
Peter Rendle: 1-1
Dan Taylor: 1-1
Andy Wakeman: 0-2
Isaac Williams: 1-0
Mark Williams: 1-0

Panel Verdict
The panel sees recent history as a good guide and for United to make it four wins from five league games at Anfield, in what could be a high scoring match.

Home: 3; Draw: 5; Away: 8; TBC: 1; mode score: 1-2

Spread Betting
This is always a feisty match with Javier Mascherano sent off last season, Sporting Index set the bookings market price at about 5 yellow cards which looks a little low, suggesting a small buy is prudent. The total goals market is set to just over 2 goals - but both sides will expect to score, it suggests that there is little downside in a buy.

Example: 1pt buy Bookings at 52
No bookings: You lose 52pts
2 yellows: You lose 32 pts
4 yellows: You lose 12 pts
6 yellows: You win 8 pts
8 yellows: You win 28 pts
10 yellows and a red: You win 73 pts and so on

Example: 20pts buy Total Goals at 2.3
No goals: You lose 46pts
1 goal: You lose 26pts
2 goals: You lose 6pts
3 goals: You win 14pts
4 goals: You win 34pts
5 goals: You win 54pts
6 goals: You win 74pts and so on

* Do we have it right, or do you know better? Please don't bother with derisory comments on the predictions after the match - unless you also pulled us up before it!

COMMENTS

kelly

well if it has one time that liverpool is going to prove alot of people wroung is in this game an i feel that they are going to win 2 - 1an after that the cup is next

Vinny

Take your point with the bookings index (although Liverpool and the mancs are usually at the top of the Fair Play League) but don't necessarily agree on the goals market. I think there's a very big chance that this game could finish 0-0 or 1-0 either way.

Antony Melvin

I realise that a low-scoring game is likely, but the tip on goals scored is based more on the likelihood that both teams will probably score meaning that a buy should usually more-or-less break even; but if there are more goals than expected then that will result in profit.

It's more of an eliminating loss than guaranteeing profit kind of tip - which sounds quite weak now that I write it.

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