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Sunday, 21 September 2008

Premier League Prediction Panel 20-21 September 2009, wrap

Saturday could see Liverpool take a big lead in the Premier League as they host Stoke; third placed Arsenal could also go top if they win at Bolton.  Seventh placed Fulham travel to third bottom Blackburn, West Ham will look to increase Newcastle's gloom and Middlesbrough play the days big derby match at Sunderland.

On Sunday the big game is undoubtedly league leaders Chelsea against Manchester United, which is increasingly looking like a must-not-lose for the champions.  Fourth placed Villa travel the short distance to West Brom; Hull host a team from the other end of the M62 in Everton; sixth placed Manchester City play Portsmouth and Wigan travel to bottom club Tottenham.

Prediction Panel Week 2

Saturday

Bolton Wanderers v Arsenal:
The vast majority of the panel expect an Arsenal win.

Blackburn v Fulham:
With three predictions outstanding the panel is predicting a home win; with goals at both ends likely.

Liverpool v Stoke City:
An overwhelming home banker.

Sunderland v Middlesbrough:
The panel is going with the common derby match prediction - a score draw, probably 1-1.

West Ham v Newcastle
The is little support for Newcastle, with most pundits anticipating a West Ham win.

Sunday:

Chelsea v Manchester United
The panel has edged towards a Chelsea win, but there are advocates for all three results.

Hull City v Everton
An away win for Everton is favourite, but a third of panellists are expecting a draw.

Manchester City v Portsmouth
The panel are solidly behind a City win, with 2-1 a very popular pick.

Tottenham Hotspur v Wigan Athletic
A split panel here, with the draw the marginal favourite with just two predictions outstanding.

West Brom v Aston Villa
A split verdict between those that think The Baggies can hold Villa to a draw and those that think they won't.

Week 1 commentary:

Squarefootball's Paul Grech leads the way after calling a stunning 8 out of 10 results correctly including 3 correct scores. Dan Taylor and Squarefootball Antony Melvin are the closest challengers picking 6 results and 2 correct scores to date.

At the wrong end of the table Tony Bellew picked out just one result, with Mark Williams and Squarefootball's Colin Illingworth getting only two right. 

The par score from past seasons has been to correctly pick 50% of results and 10% of scores, which suggests that the current panel is a little off the pace; averaging 40% of results and 9% of scores. Breaking this down into the Squarefootball 'experts' and readers shows that the experts are currently bossing the panel picking 48% of results and 15% of scores; compared to the readers who have picked 38% of results correctly and 7% of scorelines. Can the readers turn this deficit around?

sqF writers: 48% / 16%
sqF readers: 38% / 7%

Team                    Pl      W       D       L       Pts     %Results %Scores
Paul Grech (sqf)        10      3       5       2       14      80      30
Dan Taylor              10      2       4       4       10      60      20
Antony Melvin (sqf)     10      2       4       4       10      40      20
Isaac Williams          10      2       2       6       8       40      20
Andy Wakeman            10      1       5       4       8       60      10
Chris Goodwin           10      1       4       5       7       50      10
Stephen Orford (sqf)    10      1       4       5       7       50      10
Peter Lee               10      1       3       6       6       40      10
Peter Rendle            10      1       2       7       5       30      10
Don McMahon             10      0       4       6       4       40      0
Tony Ratton             10      0       4       6       4       40      0
Dave Blackburn          10      0       3       7       3       30      0
Sue Gardener            10      0       3       7       3       30      0
Colin Illingworth (sqf) 10      0       2       8       2       20      0
Mark Williams           10      0       2       8       2       20      0
Tony Bellew             10      0       1       9       1       10      0

(win = correct score, draw = correct result but score wrong, loss = wrong)

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