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Friday, 12 September 2008

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: Premier League Prediction Panel 2008/9 - previews and predictions


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Tottenham start this match after the £50m sales of last season's hot strike pairing, Berbatov and Keane, and with replacements that are yet to gel properly.  Three goals and one point from the opening three fixtures leave Spurs in the early season relegation zone.  With the running sore that was Dimitar Berbatov now plastered over Spurs can get back to playing football and winning games in an almost inevitable journey to tenth place.

Villa are three points better off in seventh place (written before the weekends results) but look like a team that is much more advanced in terms of squad building to the manager's satisfaction.  The retention of Gareth Barry and the purchases of Sidwell, Davies and Milner mean Villa will probably start with more Englishmen than any other Premier League side this season - whether this is good or bad remains to be seen!  Only Barry played significantly for England in mid-week though, so the majority of the Villa team will be fresh for this match.

Two of the leakiest defences clash here, so it is hardly surprising that most pundits are expecting a number of goals at both ends.

Tottenham Hotspur (19) vs Aston Villa (7); Kick Off 8pm, 15 September 2009

Prediction Panel
Our panel contains both Squarefootball writers and readers, the writers are marked: (sqf).

Tony Bellew: 2-1
Dave Blackburn: 1-0
Sue Gardener: 2-1
Chris Goodwin: 3-3
Paul Grech (sqf): 1-2
Hugh Larkin (sqf): TBC
Colin Illingworth (sqf): 3-3
Peter Lee: 2-1
Don McMahon: 2-2
Antony Melvin (sqf): 3-3
Stephen Orford (sqf): 2-2
Tony Ratton: 1-1
Peter Rendle: 2-0
Dan Taylor: 1-2
Andy Wakeman: 1-1
Isaac Williams: 2-2
Mark Williams: 1-0

Panel Verdict
The panel have nervously edged towards a draw, but given the number of goals expected (the most popular scoreline is 3-3) it is not a strong prediction.

Home: 6; Draw: 8; Away: 2; TBC: 2; mode score: 3-3 or 2-2

Spread Betting
Spurs are slight favourites, but this could go either way - a buy on total goals will be profitable if there are three or more regardless of who scores them, so this looks like a decent punt.

Example: 20pts buy Total Goals at 2.8
No goals: You lose 56pts
1 goal: You lose 36pts
2 goals: You lose 16pts
3 goals: You win 4pts
4 goals: You win 24pts
5 goals: You win 44pts
6 goals: You win 64pts
and so on

* Do we have it right, or do you know better?  Please don't bother with derisory comments on the predictions after the match - unless you also pulled us up before the match!

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