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Tuesday, 06 January 2009

Will Roman Pavlyuchenko get motivated by transfer dealings?

Totenham appear close, tonight, to re-signing Jermain Defoe for around £15m.  There are other reports linking the club with Defoe's Portsmouth strike partner, Peter Crouch.  Which leaves the two expensive senior forwards, Darren Bent and Roman Pavlyuchenko, in a bit of a sticky situation.  Pavlyuchenko started slowly at Spurs, after his £13.8m transfer from Spartak.  But the goals have never exactly dried up and the two cup goals last Friday made it nine for the season from nineteen games - a good return.

The arrival of Defoe and possibly Crouch will put pressure on Pavlyuchenko and Bent, but with Bent missing tonight, Pavlyuchenko has the opportunity to bag a goal or two and possibly ease the pressure on Harry Redknapp to bring in a second forward.  It may be worth considering Pavlyuchenko bets as he could well be extra motivated by the arrival of Defoe especially.

Spread Betting
Pavlyuchenko is top priced at 29 minutes for goal minutes, but as the main recognised striker playing a Championship side this is not too high a buy price.  Given his two goals last time out, the absence of Bent and the pressure of a new striker arriving, this could be a reasonable bet.

Example: 2pt buy Pavlyuchenko goal minutes at 29
No goals: you lose 58pts
Pavlyuchenko  scores after 45 minutes: You win 32pts
Pavlyuchenko  scores after 30 and 60 minutes: You win 122pts
Pavlyuchenko  scores after 30, 60 and 90 minutes: You win 302pts
and so on

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